The roots of the Russia-Azerbaijan conflict trace back to the complex geopolitical landscape of the South Caucasus, where historical grievances, territorial disputes, and shifting alliances create a fragile balance of power. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Azerbaijan has sought to assert its sovereignty amid competing interests from Russia and neighboring Armenia, especially over the contested Nagorno-Karabakh region. Over the years, Russia has maintained a strategic influence in the area, often positioning itself as a peacekeeper yet simultaneously preserving leverage over Azerbaijan’s political and military decisions. Recent escalations reveal the underlying tensions exacerbated by energy politics, military build-up, and diplomatic strains between the two nations.

Several critical factors explain why tensions have reportedly surged at this particular moment:

  • Energy routes and pipelines: Azerbaijan’s growing role as an…